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Tracking Tropical Storm Gaston, waiting for Hermine

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Posted at 1:23 PM, Aug 25, 2016
and last updated 2016-08-25 13:23:37-04

RICHMOND, Va. —  There are two systems of interest in the tropical Atlantic:

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Tropical Storm Gaston is located in the central Atlantic Ocean and will become a hurricane.  The forecast track will bring it close to Bermuda, but the storm will stay far enough east of the island to not have a huge impact.

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A disturbance is located north of the Dominican Republic and will track northwestward over the next few days.  As of now, it is not very organized and hasn’t developed a lot thus far.  However, signs are it will gradually intensify as it tracks to the northwest.  This disturbance will likely become our next tropical depression and tropical storm, which would be named Hermine (pronounced her-MEEN).

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Most of the computer models develop this into at least a minor tropical storm, but a few models bring the intensity forecast up into hurricane (winds of 74+ mph) territory.

The spaghetti plot of computer models seems to mainly zero in on southern Florida or the Florida Keys, but there is not a consensus on what happens after that.  The storm could continue westward into the Gulf of Mexico, move back into the Atlantic off eastern Florida and Georgia, or track northeastward into the southeastern United States.

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This system definitely needs to be watched over the next week.  We will continue to provide frequent updates, but the latest information is always available in the CBS 6 Hurricane Tracker.