The tropical Atlantic is turning more active

Posted at 10:17 AM, Jul 30, 2016
and last updated 2016-07-31 08:49:21-04

RICHMOND, Va. — It has been over a month since we’ve seen any activity of note in the tropical Atlantic.  The last named storm was Danielle, and that storm moved from the southern Gulf of Mexico westward into Mexico on June 20.

Over the past few days, we have been watching two disturbances in the Atlantic.  One is located near the Leeward Islands, the second is in the far eastern Atlantic.


The system near the Leeward Islands will continue moving westward.  This does show signs of further development once it gets farther into the Caribbean.  Here is the latest spaghetti plot of the computer models showing potential tracks, with the majority of the model tracks moving towards Mexico or perhaps southern Texas:


The development of the system in the far eastern Atlantic has slowed down a bit, and it may encounter more unfavorable conditions over the next few days.  Here is the latest spaghetti model plot, if the system does not dissipate:


If these systems manage to develop into named storms, the next two names on this year’s Atlantic list are Earl and Fiona.


Additional information can be found in the CBS 6 Hurricane Tracker.