November outlook

Posted at 10:06 AM, Nov 01, 2015
and last updated 2015-11-01 10:06:48-05

Richmond, Va. — October 2015 ended up cooler than normal, but some of the long-range computer models are showing that November may end up with above normal temperatures.   Rainfall may also end up above normal, like it did in October.  A lot of this is based on how the various longer-range models are handling the position of the jet streams, which separate air masses and dictate storm tracks.  Here is the latest November outlook from the National Weather Service:Blog4


An average November in Richmond shows our normal highs dropping 10° and our normal lows falling through the 30s.  Both record temps shown below occurred in multiple years, and we have listed the most recent occurrence.


A typical November produces over three inches of rain.  In terms of snowfall, many Novembers go snow-free.  However, certain years manage to produce at least a trace by the end of the month.  The average of 0.2″ is skewed a bit due to some scattered years where we picked up a few inches of snow.  With the warmer-than-normal forecast, the odds of us hitting that 0.2″ is fairly low.