Richmond, Va. — October 2015 ended up cooler than normal, but some of the long-range computer models are showing that November may end up with above normal temperatures. Rainfall may also end up above normal, like it did in October. A lot of this is based on how the various longer-range models are handling the position of the jet streams, which separate air masses and dictate storm tracks. Here is the latest November outlook from the National Weather Service:
An average November in Richmond shows our normal highs dropping 10° and our normal lows falling through the 30s. Both record temps shown below occurred in multiple years, and we have listed the most recent occurrence.
A typical November produces over three inches of rain. In terms of snowfall, many Novembers go snow-free. However, certain years manage to produce at least a trace by the end of the month. The average of 0.2″ is skewed a bit due to some scattered years where we picked up a few inches of snow. With the warmer-than-normal forecast, the odds of us hitting that 0.2″ is fairly low.